Posts tagged ‘Trump’

• Prof. Leighton Vaughan Williams

  

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  • In the wrong hands, vaccination statistics can prove deadly. Simpson’s Paradox shows why.
  • When intuition fails, how to use probability, choice, and reason to find the real answers.
  • How to distinguish random sequences from contrived sequences.
  • The Problem with Teddy – A Short Story
  • Bertie’s Big Idea – A Short Story

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  • Can we solve the mystery of Shakespeare's 'lost plays'?
  • Election pollsters put their methods to the test – and turnout is the key.
  • How looking at bad polls can show Labour how to win the next election.
  • Jeb Bush dives into the presidential race.
  • Madness of crowds, polls and experts confirmed by Trump victory.
  • Report card: How well did UK election forecasters perform in 2017?
  • Same-sex ruling no surprise to Supreme Court gamblers.
  • Strictly Come Dancing: The luck of the draw matters in talent shows.
  • The Day Zero was Banned from Roulette
  • The Grand National Steeplechase
  • The Nobel Prize Prediction Industry
  • The smart money is backing Donald Trump
  • US presidential elections: why a Democrat is now favourite to win in 2020.
  • What happened to missing aircraft MH370?
  • Why the polls called UK election 2015 wrong.

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  • LVW Interviewed by the BBC's Evan Davis
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• Betting

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• Betting Taxation

  • A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
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  • Election pollsters put their models to the test – and turnout is the key.

• Book Chapters

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  • Routledge International Handbook of Internet Gambling
  • The Taxation of Gambling Machines: A Theoretical Perspective

• Books

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  • Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
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  • Is zero an even number?

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• Papers Online

  • A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
  • Implications of Betting Tax Reforms for the Taxation of Equities
  • Quarbs and Efficiency in Spread Betting Markets: Can You Beat the Book?

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  • Efficiency of Betting Markets
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  • Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
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  • Efficient Market Hypothesis on Google Video
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  • Online Gambling in Europe
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  • An Introduction to Prediction Markets
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  • Bertie's Big Idea
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  • Sure
  • The Man Who Stole Seeds from a Pomegranate
  • The Problem with Teddy
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• Selected Talks

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• Various Blogs

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  • Stiglitz on the Economic Crisis
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