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Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams

Nottingham Business School

Prof. Leighton Vaughan Williams
Recent Posts
- Bertie’s Big Idea – A Short Story
- Strictly Come Dancing: the luck of the draw really does matter!
- Prediction markets and political forecasting – evidence to House of Lords
- Home Advantage Bias – Guide Notes.
- Superforecasting – Guide Notes.
Categories

Categories
A+ links
- FiveThirtyEight
All Conversation articles
- Can we solve the mystery of Shakespeare's 'lost plays'?
- Election pollsters put their methods to the test – and turnout is the key.
- How looking at bad polls can show Labour how to win the next election.
- Jeb Bush dives into the presidential race.
- Madness of crowds, polls and experts confirmed by Trump victory.
- Report card: How well did UK election forecasters perform in 2017?
- Same-sex ruling no surprise to Supreme Court gamblers.
- Strictly Come Dancing: The luck of the draw matters in talent shows.
- The Day Zero was Banned from Roulette
- The Grand National Steeplechase
- The Nobel Prize Prediction Industry
- The smart money is backing Donald Trump
- US presidential elections: why a Democrat is now favourite to win in 2020.
- What happened to missing aircraft MH370?
- Why the polls called UK election 2015 wrong.
All Select Networks
- All Select Stories
- LinkedIn
- My Twitter page.
- Select Networks
- Twitter – LVW
Audio Files
- Is zero an even number?
- LVW Interviewed by the BBC's Evan Davis
- LVW Interviewed on BBC Radio 4 Today
Betting
- Betting exchange analysis
Betting Taxation
- A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
- Betting Taxation
- GPT Introduced, 2001
Blogroll
- Election pollsters put their models to the test – and turnout is the key.
Book Chapters
- Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets
- Routledge International Handbook of Internet Gambling
- The Taxation of Gambling Machines: A Theoretical Perspective
Books
- Betting to Win: A Professional Guide to Profitable Betting
- How to Win at Online Poker
- Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
- Oxford Book of Carols
- Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Gambling
- Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications
- Select Stories
- The Economics of Gambling
- The Economics of Gambling and National Lotteries
Centres
- Betting Research Unit
- Political Forecasting Unit
Charity
- Macmillan Cancer Support
- The John Eastwood Hospice
Choice and Reason
- Select Economics
Competition Commission
- Expert Witness Evidence to Competition Commission
- Sportech plc/Vernons Inquiry
Editorial
- Economic Issues
- Economica
- International Gambling Studies
- International Journal of Forecasting
- Southern Economic Journal
- The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics
- The Journal of Prediction Markets
Employment
- Nottingham Business School
Evidence to UK Parliament
- Memorandum to House of Commons/House of Lords Select Committee
- Oral Evidence to Select Committee of UK Parliament
Gambling Commission
- DCMS Memo (N.B. Section 78)
- Secondary Prevalence Survey
HM Revenue and Customs
- Betting Taxation
- GPT Introduced, 2001
- Modernisation of Gambling
Memberships and Fellowships
- GLG Research Council
- International Institute of Forecasters
- Royal Shakespeare Company
- Royal Statistical Society
My Adobe Voice
- Is zero an even number?
National Audit Office
- National Audit Office Report on Gambling Duties
Other Publications
- eCogra Report
- NTU
- Polling Report
- Significance
- Winning Poker 1
- Winning Poker 2
- Winning Poker 3
Papers Online
- A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
- Implications of Betting Tax Reforms for the Taxation of Equities
- Quarbs and Efficiency in Spread Betting Markets: Can You Beat the Book?
Personal
- Audrey Coss – memorial
- Golf
- Learn Mandarin Chinese
- Roko Health Club
- Select Stories
- Twitter – LVW
- West Bridgford Tennis Club
- Wilford Burns Night – LIVE Conclusion
- Wilford Burns Night – Part 1
- Wilford Burns Night – Part 2
- Wilford Church
Political Forecasting
- Channel 4 News
- Poll of Polls
- Probability in Action
Press and media
- ABC News
- BBC News
- BBC Radio 4 Today
- Business Week
- Business Week 2
- Business Week 3
- CBS News
- Daily Telegraph
- Director
- Financial Times
- Gambling Online Magazine
- Gambling Online Magazine 1
- Independent Investor
- ITN
- MSNBC
- Poker Player
- Racing Post
- Racing Post 1
- Sunday Telegraph 1
- Sunday Telegraph 1
- The Economist
- The Globe and Mail
- The Guardian
- The Independent
- The Independent
- The Mail
- The Times
- Wales On Sunday
Probability
- Select Economics
Profile
- LinkedIn
- News Archive
- ResearchGate
- Twitter
- Twitter – LVW
- YouTube
- YouTube – NBS
Published Papers
- Publications Listed on Google Scholar
- Publications Listed on IDEAS
- Publications listed on NBS website
- ResearchGate
Radio Interviews
- BBC Radio 4 Today
- LVW Interviewed by the BBC's Evan Davis
Select Abstracts
- All Select Abstracts
- Efficiency of Betting Markets
- Prediction Markets
- The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics
- The Journal of Prediction Markets
Select Books
- All Select Books
- Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
- Prediction Markets
Select Broadcasts
- All Select Broadcasts
- Efficient Market Hypothesis on Google Video
- Efficient Market Hypothesis on YouTube
- Financial Markets
- Financial Theory
- Prediction Markets Audio
- Prediction Markets on Google Video
- Prediction Markets on Videosurf
- Prediction Markets on YouTube
Select Clippings
- All Select Clippings
- Online Gambling in Europe
- Punters v Pollsters (Economist)
Select Pages
- All Select Pages
Select Papers
- All Select Papers
- Efficient Market Hypothesis
- Prediction Markets
Select Presentations
- All Select Presentations
- An Introduction to Prediction Markets
- Efficient Market Hypothesis
Select Social Media
- All Select Social Media
Select Stories
- Bertie's Big Idea
- Select Stories
- Sure
- The Man Who Stole Seeds from a Pomegranate
- The Problem with Teddy
- The Tenth Hole
- The Threat
Select Websites
- All Select Websites
Select Wiki
- All Select Wiki
Selected Talks
- London Prediction Market Conference
- Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications
Short stories
- Select Stories
Twitter
- Twitter – LVW
- Twitter – Select Clippings
- Twitter – Select Economics
Useful Links
- Betting Research Unit
- LinkedIn Betting Research Group
- LinkedIn Prediction Markets Group
- LinkedInPoliticalForecasting
- Money, Finance and Risk Group Homepage
- Nottingham Business School
- Political Forecasting Unit
- Select Abstracts
- Select Books
- Select Broadcasts
- Select Clippings
- Select Pages
- Select Papers
- Select Presentations
- Select Research
- Select Social Media
- Select Websites
- Select Wiki
Various Blogs
- Poll of Polls
XYZ
- Stiglitz on the Economic Crisis
- The Bet that Blew Up Wall Street
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