Posts from the ‘Politics’ Category

• Prof. Leighton Vaughan Williams

  

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  • How do we become Super-Rational?
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  • Can we solve the mystery of Shakespeare's 'lost plays'?
  • Election pollsters put their methods to the test – and turnout is the key.
  • How looking at bad polls can show Labour how to win the next election.
  • Jeb Bush dives into the presidential race.
  • Madness of crowds, polls and experts confirmed by Trump victory.
  • Report card: How well did UK election forecasters perform in 2017?
  • Same-sex ruling no surprise to Supreme Court gamblers.
  • Strictly Come Dancing: The luck of the draw matters in talent shows.
  • The Day Zero was Banned from Roulette
  • The Grand National Steeplechase
  • The Nobel Prize Prediction Industry
  • The smart money is backing Donald Trump
  • US presidential elections: why a Democrat is now favourite to win in 2020.
  • What happened to missing aircraft MH370?
  • Why the polls called UK election 2015 wrong.

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• Audio Files

  • Is zero an even number?
  • LVW Interviewed by the BBC's Evan Davis
  • LVW Interviewed on BBC Radio 4 Today

• Betting

  • Betting exchange analysis

• Betting Taxation

  • A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
  • Betting Taxation
  • GPT Introduced, 2001

• Book Chapters

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  • Routledge International Handbook of Internet Gambling
  • The Taxation of Gambling Machines: A Theoretical Perspective

• Books

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  • Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
  • Oxford Book of Carols
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  • Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications
  • Select Stories
  • The Economics of Gambling
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• Centres

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• Choice and Reason

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• David Henry Morris Williams, C. Eng.

  • David Henry Morris Williams, C. Eng.

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• Evidence to UK Parliament

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• Gambling Commission

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  • Secondary Prevalence Survey

• HM Revenue and Customs

  • Betting Taxation
  • GPT Introduced, 2001
  • Modernisation of Gambling

• Memberships and Fellowships

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  • Is zero an even number?

• National Audit Office

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• Other Publications

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• Papers Online

  • A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
  • Implications of Betting Tax Reforms for the Taxation of Equities
  • Quarbs and Efficiency in Spread Betting Markets: Can You Beat the Book?

• Personal

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• Political Forecasting

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• Press and media

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• Radio Interviews

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• Select Abstracts

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  • Efficiency of Betting Markets
  • Prediction Markets
  • The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics
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• Select Books

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  • Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
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• Select Broadcasts

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  • Efficient Market Hypothesis on Google Video
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  • Financial Markets
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  • Online Gambling in Europe
  • Punters v Pollsters (Economist)

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  • An Introduction to Prediction Markets
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• Select Social Media

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• Select Stories

  • Bertie's Big Idea
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  • Sure
  • The Man Who Stole Seeds from a Pomegranate
  • The Problem with Teddy
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• Selected Talks

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  • Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications

• Short stories

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• Thought Experiment

  • Sleeping Beauty Problem

• Twisted Logic

  • A Simple Thought Experiment
  • Sleeping Beauty Problem
  • When Should We Count Cards?
  • When should we push the envelope?
  • Where are the Aliens?
  • Winning at Blackjack

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• Useful Links

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• Various Blogs

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  • Stiglitz on the Economic Crisis
  • The Bet that Blew Up Wall Street

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