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Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams

Nottingham Business School

David Henry Morris Williams

June 23, 2024

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« Where are the Aliens?

David Henry Morris Williams, C. Eng. »

Prof. Leighton Vaughan Williams
Recent Posts
- How do we become Super-Rational?
- Why Do We Always End Up in the Slowest Line?
- When Can We Expect the Final Curtain?
- When Should We Stop Looking and Start Choosing?
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Categories

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All Conversation articles
- Can we solve the mystery of Shakespeare's 'lost plays'?
- Election pollsters put their methods to the test – and turnout is the key.
- How looking at bad polls can show Labour how to win the next election.
- Jeb Bush dives into the presidential race.
- Madness of crowds, polls and experts confirmed by Trump victory.
- Report card: How well did UK election forecasters perform in 2017?
- Same-sex ruling no surprise to Supreme Court gamblers.
- Strictly Come Dancing: The luck of the draw matters in talent shows.
- The Day Zero was Banned from Roulette
- The Grand National Steeplechase
- The Nobel Prize Prediction Industry
- The smart money is backing Donald Trump
- US presidential elections: why a Democrat is now favourite to win in 2020.
- What happened to missing aircraft MH370?
- Why the polls called UK election 2015 wrong.
All Select Networks
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Audio Files
- Is zero an even number?
- LVW Interviewed by the BBC's Evan Davis
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Betting
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Betting Taxation
- A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
- Betting Taxation
- GPT Introduced, 2001
Book Chapters
- Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets
- Routledge International Handbook of Internet Gambling
- The Taxation of Gambling Machines: A Theoretical Perspective
Books
- Betting to Win: A Professional Guide to Profitable Betting
- How to Win at Online Poker
- Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
- Oxford Book of Carols
- Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Gambling
- Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications
- Select Stories
- The Economics of Gambling
- The Economics of Gambling and National Lotteries
Centres
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Charity
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Choice and Reason
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Competition Commission
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David Henry Morris Williams, C. Eng.
- David Henry Morris Williams, C. Eng.
Editorial
- Economic Issues
- Economica
- International Gambling Studies
- International Journal of Forecasting
- Southern Economic Journal
- The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics
- The Journal of Prediction Markets
Employment
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Evidence to UK Parliament
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- Oral Evidence to Select Committee of UK Parliament
Gambling Commission
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- Secondary Prevalence Survey
HM Revenue and Customs
- Betting Taxation
- GPT Introduced, 2001
- Modernisation of Gambling
Memberships and Fellowships
- GLG Research Council
- International Institute of Forecasters
- Royal Shakespeare Company
- Royal Statistical Society
My Adobe Voice
- Is zero an even number?
National Audit Office
- National Audit Office Report on Gambling Duties
Other Publications
- eCogra Report
- NTU
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- Significance
- Winning Poker 1
- Winning Poker 2
- Winning Poker 3
Papers Online
- A Policy Response to the E-Commerce Revolution: The Case of Betting Taxation in the UK
- Implications of Betting Tax Reforms for the Taxation of Equities
- Quarbs and Efficiency in Spread Betting Markets: Can You Beat the Book?
Personal
- Audrey Coss – memorial
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- Select Stories
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- Wilford Burns Night – LIVE Conclusion
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- Wilford Church
Political Forecasting
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Press and media
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- Business Week
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Probability
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Profile
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Published Papers
- Publications Listed on Google Scholar
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- ResearchGate
Radio Interviews
- BBC Radio 4 Today
- LVW Interviewed by the BBC's Evan Davis
Select Abstracts
- All Select Abstracts
- Efficiency of Betting Markets
- Prediction Markets
- The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics
- The Journal of Prediction Markets
Select Books
- All Select Books
- Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets
- Prediction Markets
Select Broadcasts
- All Select Broadcasts
- Efficient Market Hypothesis on Google Video
- Efficient Market Hypothesis on YouTube
- Financial Markets
- Financial Theory
- Prediction Markets Audio
- Prediction Markets on Google Video
- Prediction Markets on Videosurf
- Prediction Markets on YouTube
Select Clippings
- All Select Clippings
- Online Gambling in Europe
- Punters v Pollsters (Economist)
Select Pages
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Select Papers
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- Efficient Market Hypothesis
- Prediction Markets
Select Presentations
- All Select Presentations
- An Introduction to Prediction Markets
- Efficient Market Hypothesis
Select Social Media
- All Select Social Media
Select Stories
- Bertie's Big Idea
- Select Stories
- Sure
- The Man Who Stole Seeds from a Pomegranate
- The Problem with Teddy
- The Tenth Hole
- The Threat
Select Websites
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Select Wiki
- All Select Wiki
Selected Talks
- London Prediction Market Conference
- Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications
Short stories
- Select Stories
Thought Experiment
- Sleeping Beauty Problem
Twisted Logic
- A Simple Thought Experiment
- Sleeping Beauty Problem
- When Should We Count Cards?
- When should we push the envelope?
- Where are the Aliens?
- Winning at Blackjack
Twitter
- Twitter – LVW
- Twitter – Select Clippings
- Twitter – Select Economics
Useful Links
- Betting Research Unit
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- LinkedIn Prediction Markets Group
- LinkedInPoliticalForecasting
- Money, Finance and Risk Group Homepage
- Nottingham Business School
- Political Forecasting Unit
- Select Abstracts
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Various Blogs
- Poll of Polls
XYZ
- Stiglitz on the Economic Crisis
- The Bet that Blew Up Wall Street
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